Theta (Options) Θ
Theta is a model estimate of how much an option's theoretical value changes as one day passes, with every other input held constant.
What it is
Theta is one of the option "Greeks" — sensitivities produced by an option pricing model. It estimates how much an option's theoretical value changes when one unit of time (usually one calendar day) passes and every other input — the underlying price, implied volatility, interest rates — is held unchanged. Because an option's extrinsic value (the part of the premium that is not intrinsic worth today) shrinks as expiry approaches, theta is normally negative for someone holding a long option and positive for someone who has written one. Theta is a model output, not an observed market price, and the decay it describes is not linear: it accelerates as expiry nears, most sharply for options struck close to the current price of the underlying.
Why it matters
Theta puts a number on a fact beginners often miss: an option is a wasting asset with a fixed deadline. An option that expires out of the money expires worthless — the buyer loses the entire premium paid, a 100% loss on that contract, no matter how likely the move looked. Theta estimates how fast that erosion is running under today's inputs, and because decay is not linear, a quiet week early in the life of an option struck near the underlying's price erodes less than a quiet week in its final days. It also shows why the clock runs in opposite directions for buyers and writers. A positive theta does not make a written option safe: a writer's obligation can produce losses far larger than the premium received, and an uncovered (naked) call carries theoretically unlimited loss because the underlying's price has no upper bound.
How it's calculated
Theta is not reported by an exchange; it is computed from an option pricing model such as Black-Scholes-Merton or a binomial tree. The model takes the underlying price, the strike, time remaining to expiry, an interest rate, expected dividends, and a volatility figure — in practice the implied volatility, which is itself backed out from the option's traded price rather than fed in from outside. Theta is the partial derivative of the model's value with respect to calendar time. Vendors rescale it to a per-day amount; some quote per year, some per trading day, so the same contract can show different theta values depending on the model, the volatility input, and the day-count convention.