Convexity
Convexity measures how much a bond's price-yield relationship curves, correcting duration's straight-line estimate of price moves.
What it is
Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions: when yields rise, prices fall. Duration estimates that move as a straight line — roughly the percentage a bond's price changes per one-percentage-point move in yield. But the real relationship is a curve, not a line. Convexity measures how much that curve bends, and it is the correction term duration alone misses. For most ordinary bonds the curve bends upward (positive convexity), meaning duration overstates the loss when yields rise and understates the gain when yields fall.
Why it matters
Duration is a decent approximation for small yield moves and increasingly wrong for large ones. Convexity tells a beginner how wrong, and in which direction. Two bonds can share the same duration yet behave differently in a sharp rate move because their convexity differs — so duration alone does not fully describe a bond's interest-rate sensitivity. Convexity also flags an important asymmetry: bonds the issuer or borrower can repay early, such as callable bonds and mortgage-backed securities, can have negative convexity, where the price rises less on a rally than it falls on a sell-off. Knowing the figure exists explains why a bond's actual price move can differ from a duration-based estimate.
How it's calculated
Convexity is the second derivative of a bond's price with respect to yield, scaled by price. The closed-form version uses the cash flow schedule: each coupon and principal payment is discounted, weighted by the time until it arrives multiplied by that time plus one, summed, then divided by price and by (1 + yield) squared. Analysts more often approximate it numerically: reprice the bond at a slightly higher and a slightly lower yield, then measure how far those prices sit above duration's straight-line estimate. Bonds with a call or prepayment feature need effective (option-adjusted) convexity, found by repricing under shifted yield curves.