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Bonds, Rates & the Economy
How a bond's price answers to interest rates, and the economic readings that move them.
Par Value
Par value is the face amount of a bond — the fixed principal the issuer promises to repay at maturity, and the base its coupon rate is applied to.
Coupon Rate
The annual interest a bond promises to pay, stated as a percentage of its face value rather than of the price paid for it.
Yield to Maturity
Yield to maturity is the single annualized rate that makes a bond's remaining coupon and principal payments worth exactly its current market price.
Duration (Bonds)
Duration measures how sensitive a bond's price is to a change in interest rates — roughly the percent the price moves per 1% shift in yield.
Convexity
Convexity measures how much a bond's price-yield relationship curves, correcting duration's straight-line estimate of price moves.
Credit Spread
The extra yield a bond with default risk pays over a government bond of the same maturity, quoted in basis points as compensation for that risk.
Investment Grade vs High Yield
A credit-quality dividing line: bonds rated in the safer tiers are investment grade; everything rated below that line is high yield.
Yield Curve
A line plotting the yields of bonds that share a credit quality but differ in maturity, showing what the market charges for lending over different spans of time.
Yield Curve Inversion
When shorter-term government bonds yield more than longer-term ones, flipping the yield curve's normal upward slope.
Policy Interest Rate
The interest rate a central bank sets as its main lever on the economy, targeting what banks charge each other to borrow overnight.
Consumer Price Index
A published index tracking the average price level of a basket of consumer goods and services; its percentage change is the headline inflation rate.
Real vs Nominal
Nominal figures are measured in the dollars of the day; real figures are adjusted for inflation so amounts from different years can be compared.
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